A recent coffee industry report released by Indonesia shows that after multiple natural disasters including El Niño-induced drought, floods, landslides, and volcanic eruptions, the country's coffee production fell to 9.7 million bags in the 2023/24 season. However, after entering the harvest season, actual data came in better than expected, and production is expected to rebound to 10.9 million bags in the 2024/25 season, an increase of 12.3%. Of this, Robusta production stands at 9.5 million bags and Arabica at 1.4 million bags. Although export volume is projected to rise from 4.3 million bags to 6 million bags, issues such as the La Niña phenomenon, rising fertilizer prices, and farmers' insufficient technical skills still bring uncertainty to the industry's recovery. [more…]

The latest report from the United States Department of Agriculture shows that Indonesia's total coffee production for 2024/25 is expected to increase by about 2.4 million bags (60 kg/bag) compared with the previous year, but the overall recovery remains below expectations, with production revised down by 8% year on year. Affected by strong domestic demand, the volume available for export is expected to fall by 12% to 5.2 million bags, though this is still 18% higher than exports in 2023/24. Recovery has been slow in the Robusta-producing areas of southern Sumatra, while the Arabica-producing areas of northern Lintong have suffered heavy rainfall and secondary disasters. Domestic purchasing power is weak, and consumption growth is less than 1%. The European Union had increased purchasing because of the EUDR regulations, but later postponed implementation for one year. Production in Vietnam and Brazil is unstable, and coffee prices remain high. Front Street Coffee will continue to monitor developments in producing regions. [more…]

The United States Department of Agriculture recently released its Coffee: World Markets and Trade report, forecasting global coffee production and consumption trends for the 2024/25 marketing year. The report indicates that, driven by the continued recovery of Brazil's coffee production and a rebound in Indonesia's output, global coffee production is expected to increase by 7.1 million bags from the previous year to 176.2 million bags. Higher supply will also push global coffee exports up by 3.6 million bags to 123.1 million bags. By region, Brazil is set to see significant production gains, Colombia will see a slight recovery though pest concerns loom, Central America will remain broadly flat, and Indonesia's higher robusta output will prove insufficient to offset Vietnam's decline. Although Vietnam's production is unchanged, rising domestic consumption and drought impacts have led to a downward revision of its export forecast. The detailed contents of the report follow. [more…]

The latest data from the National Federation of Coffee Growers of Colombia (FNC) shows that the country's coffee production reached 1.28 million bags in November, up 21% year-on-year, marking three consecutive months of positive production growth, while total coffee export value climbed 29% over the same period. Although cumulative production from January to November reached 10.1 million bags, a slight year-on-year increase of 0.3%, the spot premium at origin has declined. Over the past three years, alternating shocks from La Niña and El Niño have caused continuous declines in Colombian coffee production, and cultivation costs have also risen. One estate owner revealed that the cost per 125-kilogram bag of coffee has risen from about $400 three years ago to around $600. As weather patterns shift toward El Niño, Colombian coffee production is benefiting, and the FNC expects production to recover to between 11.6 million and 12 million bags in 2024. [more…]

In recent years, Colombian coffee has performed increasingly well in the Chinese market. According to the country's media, China is expected to become Colombia's sixth-largest coffee export destination by the end of the year, and may even rise to second place in the future. In 2019, China ranked only 18th, but by 2023 it had jumped to sixth, with exports reaching 540,000 bags. At the same time, Colombia's coffee industry is gradually recovering from consecutive production declines, with output in the 2023/24 season expected to grow by 15%, though challenges such as drought, wildfires, and armed conflict remain. This article will review the latest export data, market prospects, and industry conditions, and include relevant recommendations from Front Street Coffee. [more…]

The latest data from the National Federation of Coffee Growers of Colombia shows that the country's coffee industry is experiencing a significant recovery, with production increasing by 21% year-on-year over the past 12 months, reaching 12.41 million bags. This growth is attributed to improved weather, the renewal of disease-resistant varieties, and rising global coffee prices. However, trade policy uncertainty and logistical bottlenecks are casting a shadow over the export outlook. Tariff measures that may be implemented after the new U.S. president takes office, as well as issues such as port congestion and container shortages, could put pressure on Colombian coffee exports. Despite the rebound in production, it is still not enough to fill the gap left by Brazil's reduced output, and coffee prices are expected to remain high. Follow origin developments to learn the latest trends in the coffee market. [more…]

Colombia's peace process has encountered new setbacks. While the government and the "Caraca" faction extended their ceasefire agreement, another faction—the Western Bloc of the "Central General Staff"—continued to exchange fire with government forces in Cauca Department. President Petro authorized an all-out offensive, and the military deployed more than 1,400 soldiers along with heavy equipment to launch a raid. The conflict sparked wildfires in the mountains, and combined with persistent drought and high temperatures, major coffee-producing regions such as Huila Department and Cauca Department were severely affected, with large tracts of coffee crops destroyed. Coffee output in August fell by nearly 100,000 bags month-on-month. The National Federation of Coffee Growers of Colombia (FNC) said that after three consecutive years of declining production caused by La Niña, output is now struggling to recover, up 15% compared with last year. Regional peace and industry recovery remain core issues that the government urgently needs to address. [more…]

The dual impact of persistent drought and uneven rainfall distribution has cast a shadow over the global robusta coffee supply outlook. In Vietnam's Dak Lak province, about 40% of coffee trees still lack water, and coffee production is expected to decline by 20% to a four-year low; in Brazil's largest producing region, Minas Gerais, there has been no rain for three consecutive weeks. Although prices previously plummeted due to a recovery in exports and the restoration of international inventories, signs of a rebound have recently emerged. Global financial services platform Marex Group Plc predicts that, affected by reduced production in Brazil, Vietnam, and Indonesia, the global robusta coffee market will face a supply gap of 2.7 million bags next year, and upward pressure on prices should not be underestimated. [more…]

The latest report from the United States Department of Agriculture shows that Peru's coffee industry is gradually emerging from the shadow of El Niño. After facing severe challenges in the first quarter of the 2023/24 fiscal year, production has recovered to 3.95 million bags, achieving a 9% year-on-year increase. Looking ahead to the 2024/25 marketing year, Peru's coffee production and exports are expected to rise by 7% and 6% respectively, reaching 4.22 million bags and 4.07 million bags. International coffee prices remain elevated, encouraging coffee farmers to increase investment in cultivation and fertilizers, injecting momentum into the industry's recovery. Meanwhile, cooperation between Peru and China on the Chancay Port project has made new progress, creating favorable conditions for increased exports of coffee and other agricultural products to China in the future. Front Street Coffee will continue to monitor the origin dynamics and flavor performance of Peruvian coffee. [more…]

Honduras is the largest coffee producer in Central America and the fifth largest coffee-producing country in the world, maintaining high quality alongside high yields. This article will guide you through the history of Honduran coffee, its geographical conditions, the characteristics of its six major regions, and the grading standards based on altitude. From the introduction of coffee by Spanish merchants in the 18th century, to its recovery after being struck by hurricanes and leaf rust, Honduras—with its mountainous terrain, volcanic soil, and mild climate—has cultivated a delicate and balanced coffee flavor. Among these, the Opalaca region has performed impressively on the COE list in recent years and is worth the attention of coffee lovers. Front Street Coffee will also recommend Honduran coffees worth trying. [more…]

As the world's fourth-largest coffee producer, Indonesia is facing severe climate challenges. From the relentless downpours brought by La Niña to the severe droughts triggered by El Niño, extreme weather has alternately battered coffee-growing regions, causing poor development of coffee flowers, withered leaves, and worsening pests and diseases. Industry insiders predict that Indonesia's total coffee production this season will plummet to less than 10 million bags, the lowest level in more than a decade. Smallholder farmers in low-altitude growing regions are bearing the brunt, with some even facing the prospect of a total crop failure. At the same time, soaring rice prices have prompted the government to encourage farmers to switch to rice cultivation, while the slow renewal of coffee trees further constrains any recovery in production capacity. Climate change could also lead to a sharp reduction in Indonesia's land suitable for coffee cultivation. Front Street Coffee will continue to follow subsequent developments in this growing region. [more…]

Since Indonesia entered the rainy season, heavy rainfall has triggered floods, landslides and other natural disasters in many places, causing casualties and damage to public facilities. This coincides with the coffee harvest season, and the affected areas are close to major coffee-producing regions, so whether plantations have been damaged remains to be confirmed. At the same time, Indonesia's coffee production for 2024/25 is expected to be revised downward, exports are forecast to decline, and combined with a weaker Indonesian rupiah exchange rate and rising fertilizer prices, robusta coffee prices may rise again in the future. This article will review the disaster impact, production data and market trends for coffee lovers' reference. [more…]

Brazil's coffee-growing regions have finally received effective rainfall, and the long-drought-stricken arabica-producing areas are expected to find relief in the new flowering season in November. However, months of extreme heat and water shortages have already caused substantial damage to production for the 2024/25 and 2025/26 crop years. Water levels in the Amazon basin remain at historic lows, and shipping disruptions are driving up logistics costs. At the same time, the sharp plunge in the real exchange rate, port delays, and the postponement of the EU's EUDR policy, among multiple interwoven factors, have filled the outlook for Brazil's coffee production and prices with uncertainty. This article reviews the latest weather developments, industry impacts, and chain reactions in the market, and includes Front Street Coffee's continued attention to origin information. [more…]

Central Vietnam experienced strong winds and heavy rain after Typhoon Trami made landfall, damaging dikes, houses, farmland, and transportation and logistics infrastructure—just as the new coffee harvest season was getting underway. Looking back over the year, Vietnam's coffee industry first endured its worst drought in nearly a decade, then was hit by two typhoons in succession, Typhoon Yagi and Typhoon Trami, with the main producing areas in the Central Highlands also experiencing strong winds and heavy rain. Delayed harvesting, blocked roads, and closed ports combined to make new-crop supply even tighter; yet despite lower export volumes, export value hit a record high on rising prices. This article reviews the disaster impact, production and export data, and looks at price trends going forward. [more…]

Since 2024, multiple Latin American countries have experienced historic high temperatures and droughts. Honduras is enduring its hottest and driest year since 1992, with maximum temperatures reaching 38-40°C. A total of 1,903 forest fires have broken out nationwide, destroying over 150,000 hectares of forest. Although the main coffee-producing regions have not yet been directly hit by the wildfires, rainfall has decreased by nearly 40% compared to the same period last year, hampering the growth of coffee plants during their flowering period. More critically, El Niño has not yet subsided, while La Niña is highly likely to arrive, and the threat of hurricane season is imminent. The Honduran Coffee Institute (IHCAFE) has already issued a warning about next season's output. Front Street Coffee will continue to monitor developments in the producing regions and bring first-hand information to enthusiasts. [more…]

Recently, Brazil's coffee exports have shown strong performance, but extreme weather and a dengue fever outbreak are casting a shadow over the upcoming crop season. In Minas Gerais, the main Arabica-producing region, rainfall has been only 16% of the historical average, and drought is threatening production. Meanwhile, dengue fever cases have surged past 1.8 million, with multiple coffee-growing regions entering a health emergency, which could lead to a shortage of harvest labor. In addition, the probability of La Niña has risen to 62%, potentially bringing frost disasters. Although coffee sales for the 2023/24 season are progressing well, pre-sales for the 2024/25 season are slow, at only 11%, far below the same period last year. Coffee farmers are strongly reluctant to sell, and the market's wait-and-see atmosphere has intensified. Front Street Coffee reminds enthusiasts to pay attention to developments in the producing regions and to view price fluctuations rationally. [more…]

Due to a combination of extreme weather, falling coffee futures prices and labor shortages, El Salvador's coffee bean export volume and export value both fell sharply in the first four months of the 2023/24 harvest season. According to a report by the Salvadoran Coffee Institute, export volume fell by nearly 47% year-on-year, export value dropped by more than 50%, and in January alone export value plunged by more than 90%. The United States remains the largest buyer, but Italy, Saudi Arabia and other countries follow closely behind in share. The decline in production is directly related to drought and extreme rainfall caused by the El Niño phenomenon. At the same time, El Salvador's coffee exports to China are on the rise, with 13 trading companies having completed registration in China, and the industry is optimistic about the potential of the Chinese market. Front Street Coffee continues to follow developments in the producing regions and bring frontline news to enthusiasts. [more…]

In Ecuador, where the Andes Mountains run the length of South America, the diverse climate and volcanic soil give rise to unique coffee flavors. Loja Province, an important producing region in the south of the country, is known for its high-altitude cultivation, and it is here that La Noria estate is located. Established by CVM, this estate grew from an initial seedling nursery into a coffee harvesting and processing center, and in both 2022 and 2023 it achieved excellent results in Ecuador's COE competition. This article will guide you through the ups and downs of Ecuador's coffee industry, take a deep look at the terroir of Loja Province, and analyze how La Noria estate rose to the championship with varieties such as Geisha. [more…]

The latest monthly report from the International Coffee Organization (ICO) shows that the average composite indicator price for coffee in May was 208.38 cents per pound, down 3.9% month-on-month. Easing drought in Vietnam and dry weather in Brazil favorable for harvesting, combined with supply uncertainty in Central America and the depreciation of the real, intertwined to affect price trends. Global coffee inventories increased substantially, with green bean exports in April rising 15.3% year-on-year, among which Brazil's exports grew strongly by 54.8%. The ICO expects global coffee production in the 2023/24 crop year to rise 5.8% to 178 million bags, while consumption demand will grow 2.2% to 177 million bags, with the market showing a trend of simultaneous growth in both supply and demand. [more…]

Latest data from the National Federation of Coffee Growers of Colombia (FNC) shows that Colombia's coffee production reached 1.12 million bags in May, a year-on-year increase of 38.9%, an impressive performance. In the same period of 2023, production was dragged down by La Niña, while the drought impact brought by El Niño in the first half of this year was relatively limited. In addition, the arrival of the rainy season in May alleviated the drought, allowing production to recover. On the export side, exports in April were 792,000 bags, a year-on-year increase of 9.5%. However, domestic coffee prices fell 4% month-on-month, mainly affected by the decline in New York futures contract prices as well as lower exchange rates and differentials. In addition, the FNC is holding the ninth "Colombia Diversity" coffee quality competition, aiming to enhance the international influence of Colombian coffee. [more…]